| The future is fundamentally uncertain, yet there
are discernable directions, even if signs point to conflicting and
multiple outcomes. For some, uncertainty justifies not thinking about
the future, while for others the uncertainty is a source of opportunity.
Without a concerted effort to be future-focused, organizations run
grave risks of diminished importance or even oblivion in the fluctuating
world of the early 21st century. Thinking about the future increases
the likelihood of success in the long run.
All of our experience is with the past, but all of our decisions
are about the future. Many people have assumed that their past experience
is a fairly reliable guide to the future-the future will simply
be a bigger and better version of the world with which they are
familiar. However, the pace of change now makes it clear to thoughtful
people that continuity can no longer be taken for granted. In area
after area today, we are confronted by true uncertainty: we really
do not know what will happen, but we know it is going to happen
more quickly.
The future cannot be predicted. The word "futures" in
futures studies is plural because there is no one preordained future
that is fated to occur. Rather, there are many different possible
alternative futures. Instead of predicting what the future will
be, futurists use a wide range of methodologies to engage in structured
and thoughtful speculation about future possibilities. This helps
people prepare for whatever future comes, and positions them to
be more able to create the future they prefer.
You can view IAF’s Wiser Futures Compendium that showcases IAF’s Aspirational Futures approach to futures studies. The Wider Futures Compendium is part of the Wiser Futures Workshop run annually at the World Futures Society Annual Conference and is one of IAF’s many workshop conducted with clients. You can learn more about the services offered by IAF here.
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